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Board index > Poker Strategy Discussion > Bad Beats and Big Wins


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2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one hand.



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redright88
 Post subject: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one hand.
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 2:15 pm 
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Straight Flush

Joined: Thu Feb 22, 2007 2:50 pm
Posts: 1989
Location: Chicago
This is a hand that I played this weekend that I thought was interesting.

Background: Hero ($975) has been at the table for many hours. He earlier lost a huge pot aces vs. kings all in on a jack-high, two-suit flop. He has battled back to basically even by grinding out small pots. The hero's image is aggressive and somewhat loose. I have turned over a few non-standard two-pair or trips types of hands. The table has also seen me make one or two big-ish laydowns. The villain in the hand was not there for the AA vs. KK hand, so that will have no effect on his perception of the hero.

The villain came from a broken table with a huge (~$3.5K) stack. He has commented on how good he has been running. He is playing a lot of hands and playing them aggressively. He has been a little more careful about playing hands out of position in raised pots, which indicates that he probably is decent along with running good.

On to the hand.

The hero ($975) is in the BB with [8s] [8c] . Action folds to the villain (~$3,500) who makes a standard raise to $20. SB folds. Hero calls. I didn't want to three-bet and risk being blown off my hand. I feel like all of my equity is in flopping a set in this spot.

Flop ($37 - after rake) [4d] [5h] [8h] .

Bingo.

Hero checks. Villain leads for $25. Hero raises to $65. Villain calls.

Turn ($166 - after rake) [Kc]

Hero leads for $140. Villain quickly calls.

At this point I was worried about 6-7 for a flopped straight or thinking other likely holdings were dominated by pair+draw type hands. I love where I am in the hand, though.

River ($446) [Kh] .

Perfect. If he was on hearts, he just got there at the same time I filled up.

Hero pushes. Villain snap calls and tables [Ks] [5d] . :o :shock: :o :shock: :o :shock:

Hero says. 'Nice hand, sir.' Hero looks at the dealer and informs him that he has an open seat. Hero says to villain, 'You run good.' Villain says, 'Yeah.' Hero picks up his jacket and walks out of the poker room.

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Pokerdogg
 Post subject: Re: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one han
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 2:44 pm 
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Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 9:12 pm
Posts: 3172
Ouch. All I can say is, I've been there.


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vinnyboombots
 Post subject: Re: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one han
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 2:55 pm 
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Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2009 8:12 pm
Posts: 1389
I would have been there on Friday night had I not FOLDED a flopped straight with Qc8C with 2 all-ins in front of me. I got lucky with my read. You on the other hand got beat by some tool that got sickly lucky and had no business being in that hand. Sorry pal. The poker Gods owe you one.


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nittastic
 Post subject: Re: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one han
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 3:02 pm 
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Joined: Sun Oct 18, 2009 3:32 pm
Posts: 529
Ouch I hope that dosen't happen to you everyday.

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#1BuckeyeFan
 Post subject: Re: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one han
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 3:29 pm 
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Joined: Tue Oct 10, 2006 1:53 pm
Posts: 605
Location: Naperville, IL
That sucks RR but as we all know it is part of the pain of the game. On the otherside, you love to be around when his luck changes and the turn costs him $975 when a dry river comes.

Are you playing any of the Chicago Poker Classic?

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BentonBlakeman
 Post subject: Re: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one han
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 3:50 pm 
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Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2011 8:09 pm
Posts: 1589
Wow, you play so bad :-P But seriously, pretty gross. I notice you posted the hand a good while after it happened so I'm assuming the pain has somewhat subsided and you can handle the first sentence needle!

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redright88
 Post subject: Re: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one han
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 3:59 pm 
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Joined: Thu Feb 22, 2007 2:50 pm
Posts: 1989
Location: Chicago
#1BuckeyeFan wrote:
That sucks RR but as we all know it is part of the pain of the game. On the otherside, you love to be around when his luck changes and the turn costs him $975 when a dry river comes.

Are you playing any of the Chicago Poker Classic?


I don't really play tournaments. I was just there to play the side games. They are uber-juicy, as you can see. You'll even be able to find clowns that will ship in 120BBs after you make the big full on the river. :oops:

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redright88
 Post subject: Re: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one han
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 4:01 pm 
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Straight Flush

Joined: Thu Feb 22, 2007 2:50 pm
Posts: 1989
Location: Chicago
BentonBlakeman wrote:
Wow, you play so bad :-P But seriously, pretty gross. I notice you posted the hand a good while after it happened so I'm assuming the pain has somewhat subsided and you can handle the first sentence needle!


It took a little while for the sting to wear off... but I'm working through it. LOL. I will be right back at it next weekend. The action should be nuts again.

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BentonBlakeman
 Post subject: Re: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one han
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 4:33 pm 
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I wanna go!

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redright88
 Post subject: Re: 2/5NL: How to go from a 99% favorite to broke in one han
PostPosted: Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:54 pm 
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Joined: Thu Feb 22, 2007 2:50 pm
Posts: 1989
Location: Chicago
BentonBlakeman wrote:
I wanna go!

Come on down. You can even crash at my place. Seriously.

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