Easiest SB Prop Bet

Santa Fe Rail · **Joined:** Wed Feb 07, 2007 9:41 pm **Posts:** 836

the coin flip!! it is 50/50 chance just like red/black in roulette.

fatb · **Posted:** Tue Jan 24, 2012 8:43 pm

Well roulette has 0 and 00 which are both green so red/black is not 50/50.

Santa Fe Rail · **Joined:** Wed Feb 07, 2007 9:41 pm **Posts:** 836

true but i still like the coin flip for best chance of winning. guess that is why i like craps and not roulette.

voltron12 · **Joined:** Thu Apr 07, 2011 12:31 pm **Posts:** 237

How is that the easiest prop bet. You are playing -EV no matter what because of the -105 juice on that coin toss line. Prop bets can be researched enough or maybe get enough info to find a bet that is +ev. For instance, you find out or know that a player is very hurt, but is going to try to play, but more than likely is going to play 20 or less snaps. ANd they have his O/u line for yards gained for his season average at -110 juice. Now wouldnt you think betting the under on that is an easier SB prop bet than the coin flip. Ya it could still lose, but i would think it is better than 50/50 to win. Now that line will eventually move and probably get lowered massively before game time, and or the juice will got to -220 or something, but they will open the line at the players season average or a bit below if it is said he will play (at least at online books on opening lines). I have made part of my financial living making prop bets at baseball, and football every year for awhile now. And your statement is comical to me. I gave you one example and can tell you many, many more.

Now if your talking about vegas book prop bets, maybe that is different. Since they wait longer to post their lines than books online. But if you jump on the online books when they come out, you can get major +ev action. Since they mostly put out the players season average and only take that into consideration. Then only 200-300 in action will move that juice 5 points. The max bets online for these is 300-500 usually until you get limited if your good. So the lines set themselves quickly so they dont worry about bad lines so much at least to start. Like they opened the chris ivory line against the niners at over/under 60 yards rushing. Now he is their 3rd running back going up against the top rushing def. He gets 75% of his carries at the end of games when they are winning big. At san fran that was more than likely not going to be in the case and even so up against that def. Under is better EV and an easiest bet than the coin flip.

Ian · **Joined:** Mon Jul 10, 2006 11:16 am **Posts:** 1010

Santa Fe Rail wrote:

the coin flip!! it is 50/50 chance just like red/black in roulette.

Last year I had heads at +101 (it won). Not expecting to see that again.

ManInBlack · **Posted:** Wed Jan 25, 2012 3:35 pm

I would take tails

Mirage Poker · **Joined:** Thu Jun 11, 2009 7:14 am **Posts:** 1392

Ian wrote:

Santa Fe Rail wrote:

the coin flip!! it is 50/50 chance just like red/black in roulette.

Last year I had heads at +101 (it won). Not expecting to see that again.

wow... where did you get a + line on the coin flip?

Zin · **Posted:** Wed Jan 25, 2012 5:25 pm

fatb wrote:

Well roulette has 0 and 00 which are both green so red/black is not 50/50.

+1

Santa Fe Rail · **Joined:** Wed Feb 07, 2007 9:41 pm **Posts:** 836

yes k i am 7-9-1 in my last 17 wagers. not exactly anything worth anything. yes Mirage all lines @ Bovada r - until the point spreads.
i had La Salle Wednesday night,winner, finally, and i will take Indiana thurs night +8 @ Wisconsin who is 2-4 ATS.

Ian · **Joined:** Mon Jul 10, 2006 11:16 am **Posts:** 1010

Mirage Poker wrote:

Ian wrote:

Santa Fe Rail wrote:

the coin flip!! it is 50/50 chance just like red/black in roulette.

Last year I had heads at +101 (it won). Not expecting to see that again.

wow... where did you get a + line on the coin flip?

Sportsbetting.com

It's a horrible site, btw. I don't recommend making a deposit there and expect them to run off with everyone's cash at some point. They do, however, deal some incredibly soft lines (like +101 on a coin flip) from time to time.

Easiest SB Prop Bet

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