Ok, here's a hand that I am confused by. Both Carbon Poker & Pokerstove have this hand as a favorite, and I don't understand why.

vs

Obviously, JJ is ahead 80.9 to 19.1 preflop

Flop is

And now JJ is ahead 72.475 to 27.525

Turn is

Now Both of those say that 77 is a 77.273 to 22.727 favorite. Besides the 9 clubs that remain, what are 77's other outs to give it 34 wins? (That's pokerstove's numbers, not mine!)

Note: The river filled me up with the JJ.

Turns out I was a moron... nevermind this question....

U were behind, not him. He is the winner unless u suck out. For u to win u have 10 outs @ river, for percent at river = outs x 2 + 2 seems perfect to me. If u only have a 22.7 chance of winning that leaves 77 for him, right?

you only have 10 outs holding JJ
3 A's
3 Q's
3 2's
1 J

that leaves 34 remaining cards which beat you on the river.
52-8-10=34

Methinks you must be missing the fact that he has made a flush, right now on the turn, and isn't drawing to anything against JJ's flopped set. He doesn't need outs; 7c7x is good right now and wins unless you boat up or river quads.

Everybody misreads a board sometime, and this was apparently your time to do that.

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Life is six to five against.
-Damon Runyon

yeah.... turns out I'm a moron and missed the flush... I ran it several times in my head... I don't know what I was thinking... must be nap time.

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You can't simply just predict what card will show next. Even if you think you have the perfect combination from the start, there is a possibility that you will lose.